Gambling on Alabama football in 2018 will require supreme confidence in the Crimson Tide. Vegas expert Brian Edwards told SEC Country that Nick Saban’s team should be favored by 17-plus points in 10 of its games this season.
The outliers aren’t easy calls for gamblers, either. Edwards, who handicaps games for VegasInsider.com, said games against LSU (Alabama by 8) and Auburn (Alabama by 10.5) will swing heavily in favor of the Tide.
When Vegas giant Southpoint releases its Games of the Year list later this week, it probably will be a tad more sympathetic to Auburn in the Iron Bowl, but should mostly mirror Edwards’ projections. He said Alabama’s 2018 slate is particularly favorable.
“Their schedule’s just not very good,” Edwards said. “They’ve been able to play Tennessee out of the East all these years, and Tennessee has been just awful the past decade or so. The other team they get out of the East this year is Missouri at home. And I love Missouri’s offense, but they can’t stop Alabama’s running game.”
Here’s a look at Edwards’ projections in Power 5 games. Alabama also plays Arkansas State, Louisiana-Lafayette and The Citadel.
Alabama: Goliath once again
|Power 5 opponent||Brian Edwards projected line|
|vs. Louisville (Orlando, Fla.)||-29|
|at Ole Miss||-17|
|vs. Texas A&M||-21|
|vs. Mississippi State||-17|
Edwards said the Tide also have “enormous” odds to make the playoffs. Bettors currently need to risk $220 to win $100 if they think Alabama will reach the promised land for the fifth consecutive season. If fans think Alabama will hit the “over” on 10.5 wins, they need to risk $130 to win $100.
Saban’s teams have finished undefeated in the regular season twice, but this might be the year it happens again. Edwards called his shot, saying “Alabama is gonna go 12-0,” and praised the Tide’s top-to-bottom talent.
“The only potential hiccup games are at LSU and Auburn,” Edwards said. “I think it’s a two-game season. Now, stuff happens. Maybe they get some injuries or suspensions and that changes things, but I really think it’s a two-game season for Bama.”
Do you think Alabama will go undefeated in the regular season? Give us your thoughts in the comments section below.
Correction: The site of Alabama’s season opener was incorrect in the original post. SEC Country regrets the error.