Kentucky and Vanderbilt will face off in an SEC East game at 4 p.m. ET Saturday, Nov. 11. The Commodores are a 2-point favorite. Find full odds and our picks on the game below.
Kentucky-Vanderbilt, Week 11 betting odds
Vanderbilt is a 2-point favorite in a game that is almost guaranteed to be close. The over/under for total points scored is currently 52½, according to MyBookie.ag. A week ago, Kentucky — a 3½-point favorite against Ole Miss — did not cover.
Kentucky-Vanderbilt betting picks
Joe Mussatto: It’s hard to believe Kentucky hasn’t won at Vanderbilt since 2009, but I think that home winning streak against the Wildcats continues Saturday. Yes, Vanderbilt is 0-5 in the SEC, but those losses have come against Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Ole Miss and South Carolina. Kentucky, which is 3-3 in the SEC and beat South Carolina, would likely be 1-4 had it played Vanderbilt’s conference slate. Running back Ralph Webb’s numbers are down from last year, but quarterback Kyle Shurmur could give a shaky Kentucky secondary problems through the air. Vanderbilt 30, Kentucky 23.
Kyle Tucker: Kentucky feels under fire, doubted and perhaps on the edge of collapse with No. 1 UGA and reigning Heisman winner Lamar Jackson and Louisville to come. So my hunch is the Wildcats play like a team that, yes even at 6-3, has its back to the wall. Kentucky 27, Vanderbilt 24.
Pete Scantlebury: The big key here is Kentucky’s ground game. Vanderbilt has been stout against the run against poor running teams; the Commodores have been gashed for big yards against any opponent with a pulse. The last two weeks, Kentucky has found consistency on the ground, rushing for more than 200 yards in each game. Given Kentucky’s penchant for close game this year (outside of the blowout to Mississippi State), this line is a tough one. However, I think Kentucky wins, but wins close. Kentucky 28, Vanderbilt 27.
Kentucky-Vanderbilt betting preview
- In games where Vanderbilt quarterback Kyle Shurmur completes at least 60 percent of his passes, the Commodores are 4-0. In all other games, the Commodores are 0-5. The last 3 teams to play Kentucky have completed at least 70 percent of their passes.
- Vanderbilt is 1-5 in games in which the opposing team runs for at least 200 yards. Kentucky has rushed for at least 200 yards three times this season.
- Kentucky started the season as one of the most frugal with the ball, but over the last three games, it has a turnover margin of minus-6. In that time, the Wildcats are 1-2.
- Kentucky hasn’t beaten the Commodores in back-to-back games since 2009-10. The Wildcats beat Vanderbilt a year ago in Lexington.
- Benny Snell is 103 yards away from becoming the first Kentucky running back to go over 1,000 yards in consecutive seasons. He’s the SEC’s leading rusher with 897 yards on 188 attempts — a 4.77 yard-per-attempt average. He also has 12 touchdowns.
- Shurmur is second in the SEC with 20 touchdown passes. He’s thrown 3 interceptions on the season. Over the last three weeks, he has 8 touchdown passes to 2 interceptions.
- Kentucky is already bowl eligible; Vanderbilt needs one more win to become bowl eligible. Both teams have three games remaining, including their matchup on Saturday.