LSU has a great chance at breaking five-game streak of scoring less than 30 points in Texas Bowl
Forget how LSU holds middling averages of 16.5 points in its last four games.
Forget how the Tigers currently own the nation’s 110th-ranked passing offense — at just 173 yards and 1.1 touchdowns per outing.
Forget how LSU ranks just 70th nationally in scoring.
And forget how the Tigers currently stand 72nd in red-zone efficiency (along with Kentucky, Eastern Michigan, Arizona) — with a blah conversion rate of 83.3 percent.
None of this should matter … when Texas Tech comes next on the docket.
To characterize the Red Raiders’ defense as “generous” would be a loose term. They currently rank 124th in scoring defense (42.6 points per game), 124th in third-down defense, 125th in rushing defense (272 yards allowed per outing) and 126th in total defense (540.2 yards).
And for those keeping track … there are only 127 FBS programs.
In other words, Texas Tech isn’t built to beat balanced teams, especially ones with top-notch defenders (like LSU). Against four ranked opponents this year — at the time of the meetings — the Red Raiders averaged 42 points against TCU, Baylor, Oklahoma State and Oklahoma … and still lost by an average of 21!
Think about that.
The long-term history play doesn’t support a Red Raiders upset, either.
Of Texas Tech’s eight meetings against SEC foes from the last 20 years (excluding Missouri and Texas A&M as Big 12 members), the program has a 1-7 record and an average point differential of minus-12.
The only real drama here: Predicting how many rushing yards LSU tailback Leonard Fournette — fresh off his Heisman-finalist snub — collects against Texas Tech. Given the super sophomore’s per-game average of 158.2 rushing yards … the “over-under” for the bowl lies in the 186 range.
And even that’s a conservative listing.
Jay Clemons, the 2015 national winner for “Sports Blog Of The Year” (Cynopsis Media), has previously written for SI.com, The National Football Post, Bleacher Report and FOX Sports.