ESPN released FPI 2.0 for the 2017 season on Wednesday, and the college football world took notice.
The Football Power Index is meant to serve as a projection of a team’s future performance based upon simulations using various factors. Here’s how ESPN defines the index:
The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily.
With that in mind, here’s a look at the updated projected win totals for each SEC team:
|SEC team||Projected record||FPI ranking among FBS|
|Alabama||10.6 – 1.9||2|
|Arkansas||6.1 – 5.9||36|
|Auburn||9.5 – 2.8||5|
|Florida||7.9 – 4.4||15|
|Georgia||8.4 – 4.0||13|
|Kentucky||6.7 – 5.4||34|
|LSU||9.0 – 3.1||6|
|Mississippi State||6.1 – 6.0||33|
|Mizzou||6.5 – 5.5||41|
|Ole Miss||6.4 – 5.6||38|
|South Carolina||6.1 – 6.0||32|
|Tennessee||7.9 – 4.3||19|
|Texas A&M||6.6 – 5.4||27|
|Vanderbilt||5.4 – 6.6||46|
Some takeaways from these numbers:
- All 14 SEC teams rank in the top 46 of the nation
- 13 of 14 SEC teams are projected to have the six wins necessary to be bowl eligible (Note: Vanderbilt is lone team short at 5.4, and Ole Miss has a bowl ban.)
- Alabama, Auburn and LSU are each projected to win nine regular season games. That makes for a crowded SEC West once again.
- Projections for Georgia (8.4 wins), Tennessee (7.9) and Florida (7.9) indicate the SEC East could be an extremely close three-team race.