No. 21 Auburn holds the SEC’s top spot for highest differential against the spread at 8.5 points per game. No. 1 Alabama (7.9) is hot on its rival’s heels after two huge victories. The Crimson Tide, which kick off a conference-high -22.6 chalk per game, covered their last two contests against No. 17 Arkansas (49-30) and No. 18 Tennessee (49-10) by a combined 31.5 points.
As of Wednesday morning, the Wynn Las Vegas sports book lists coach Nick Saban’s squad as an 18.5-point favorite in its Week 8 encounter against No. 6 Texas A&M, the largest spread in the matchup. The Aggies upset Alabama 29-24 as 13.5-point underdogs in 2012, Kevin Sumlin’s first year in charge. The fifth-year head coach is 3-1 straight up and against the spread as a double-digit underdog versus SEC opponents.
Auburn, meanwhile, which boasts an SEC-best 5-1 record against the spread, is a 9.5-point favorite in its home matchup against the Razorbacks. Kicking off chalk in the last eight meetings at Jordan-Hare Stadium by an average of 11.6 points, the Tigers are just 4-4 straight up and 3-5 against the spread.
Kentucky owns the best covers streak in the conference, topping the number three times in a row after its 20-13 win against Vanderbilt on Oct. 8. The Wildcats, spotted a field goal in their home tilt against Mississippi State, have not strung together four in a row since 2007.
Georgia continues to underperform in the betting market, playing 11.9 points per game below the number following its 17-16 loss against Vanderbilt as 13.5-point chalk. The Bulldogs are 3-8 against the spread in their last 11 meetings with the Commodores, losing three outright.
Georgia is on a bye this week, prepping for its annual showdown against No. 15 Florida in Jacksonville, Fla., the next time out. Vegas’ Golden Nugget sports book pinned the Bulldogs as 3-point favorites for the matchup in its Game of the Year lines released in July. Expect the number to cross the fence possibly next week.
Here’s a look at where all the SEC teams rank in average margin against the spread. Included is each team’s average betting line for the season, as well as record against the number.
|TEAM||AVERAGE ATS MARGIN||AVERAGE LINE||ATS RECORD|
|3. Texas A&M||6.5||-14.5||4-1-1|
|7. South Carolina||0||6.2||3-3|
|8. Ole Miss||-0.7||-10.0||3-3|
|13. Mississippi St.||-7.3||-5.7||3-3|
Below is another table showing how SEC teams fared against game totals, including average over-under margins and records. Here’s the tally through Week 7:
|TEAM||AVERAGE O/U MARGIN||AVERAGE TOTAL||O/U RESULTS|
|1. Ole Miss||9.4||60.6||3-3|
|6. Texas A&M||3.2||56.2||2-3-1|
|7. Mississippi St.||0||51.3||1-5|
|14. South Carolina||-13.7||47.8||0-5-1|
No. 23 Ole Miss partakes in the SEC’s highest-scoring contests, going over the total by 9.4 points per game. That’s what happens when you roll out a defense yielding 446 total yards per contest, most in the conference. Georgia (14) is the only opponent that failed to reach its projected team total in the betting market versus the Rebels this season.
Ole Miss squares off against No. 25 LSU this week in the Bayou. Despite scoring more than 40 points in their last two contests, the Tigers are 6-0 to the under thanks to a sublime defense. The unit allows 14 points per game. Offshore sports books are dealing a total of 60.5 points, the highest in at least the last 10 matchups. For what it’s worth, the two have combined for 61 points or more just six times in the last 35 meetings.