Auburn’s 38-14 dismantling of Mississippi State on Saturday catapulted the Tigers to the top spot in the SEC in against the spread margin (8.5). Vegas oddsmakers opened coach Gus Malzahn’s squad as a 1-point underdog in the matchup but adjusted frantically as bettors piled on War Eagle. The line crossed the fence and the key number of a field goal before settling on 3.5 points by kickoff in favor of the Tigers.
No. 23 Auburn is the only SEC team with five covers this season. It is on a bye this weekend, prepping for No. 22 Arkansas on Oct. 22 at Jordan-Hare Stadium.
No. 6 Texas A&M edged No. 9 Tennessee 45-38 in double overtime to maintain its perfect straight-up record on the season (6-0). It’s the Aggies’ best start since 1994. The line closed at a touchdown at most bet shops, causing a push for those on a side wager.
Texas A&M is 4-1-1 against the spread, playing 6.5 points per game better than the number. Like Auburn, the Aggies have a week off to gear up for their toughest game of the season: Oct. 22 at No. 1 Alabama.
The Crimson Tide are 12.5-point favorites in their upcoming clash against the Volunteers at Neyland Stadium. It’s the 11th time in the last 12 contests that coach Nick Saban’s men are laying double digits. Alabama’s -24.1 average point spread is the highest in the SEC.
Saban is 9-0 overall and 6-3 against the spread versus Tennessee during his Tuscaloosa tenure. His defense is yielding 12.1 points per game in the nine meetings, holding the Volunteers to 20 points or fewer in each.
Besides Alabama (4.9), Missouri (4.3) and No. 12 Ole Miss (1.8) are the only other SEC teams to perform better than the spread weekly. The latter were on a bye last Saturday but face stern tests in Week 7: The Tigers are underdogs by 2 touchdowns at No. 18 Florida, while the Rebels are 7.5-point chalk at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium.
Missouri is 3-1 against the spread versus the Gators since joining the SEC. It has held Florida to 16.2 points per game in the four meetings, 9.1 below its projected team total on average. The Tigers, though, are 1-10 straight up and 3-8 against the spread in their last 11 against conference opponents.
Ole Miss, meanwhile, is 6-1 against the spread in its last seven games versus SEC foes. The one blemish came against the Razorbacks last season in which the Hogs won a 53-52 overtime thriller at Oxford as 9.5-point pups. Arkansas is 9-1 against the spread in its last 10 home meetings against the Rebels.
Here’s a look at where all the SEC teams rank in average margin against the spread. Included is each team’s average betting line for the season, as well as record against the number.
|TEAM||AVERAGE ATS MARGIN||AVERAGE LINE||ATS RECORD|
|2. Texas A&M||6.5||-14.5||4-1-1|
|5. Ole Miss||1.8||-10.2||3-2|
|6. South Carolina||0||6.2||3-3|
|13. Mississippi St.||-8.9||-8.3||2-3|
Below is another table showing how SEC teams fared against game totals, including average over-under margins and records. Here’s the tally through Week 6:
|TEAM||AVERAGE O/U MARGIN||AVERAGE TOTAL||O/U RESULTS|
|1. Ole Miss||11.6||59.6||3-2|
|6. Texas A&M||3.2||56.2||2-3-1|
|7. Mississippi St.||1.6||50.2||1-4|
|14. South Carolina||-13.7||47.8||0-5-1|
The betting market finally might be catching up to South Carolina’s low-scoring ways. Its 28-14 loss to Georgia on Sunday pushed the 42- point total. The Gamecocks own a 5-0-1 record to the under. Coach Will Muschamp’s anemic offense, averaging 14 points per game, has scored below its projected total in every game this season. Only Rutgers (11.4) puts up fewer nationally.
Ole Miss leads the SEC in average total (59.6) and points above the number at 11.6 per game, yet owns a 3-2 O/U record. The Rebels have trended toward the under in Hugh Freeze’s tenure, particularly in conference play. They own an 11-22-1 O/U mark against SEC opponents since 2012.