Auburn’s 58-7 romp against Louisiana Monroe as 33-point chalk moved it to 4-1 against the spread, tying No. 8 Texas A&M for the best record in the SEC. Coach Gus Malzahn’s squad is playing 6.1 points per game better than the spread, inspired by a hard-nosed defense. The Tigers hold opponents to 6.2 points below betting-market projections on average.
The Aggies dropped their first against the number in a 24-13 win against South Carolina on Saturday. The line opened -15.5 in favor of Texas A&M but ballooned as high as -19.5 at some sports books prior to kickoff. It hosts undefeated No. 9 Tennessee this weekend at Kyle Field, favored by a touchdown. The Aggies are 2-6 against the spread in their last eight games as home chalk versus SEC foes.
No. 1 Alabama is a double-digit favorite for the 10th time in its last 11 games, spotting No. 16 Arkansas 2 touchdowns in its trip to Fayetteville. The Crimson Tide’s -26.1 average line tops the SEC, 8 points higher than next-closest No. 18 Florida (-17.9) and the Razorbacks (-17.8). Ever since its 52-6 blowout against USC in the opener, Alabama is playing 2.3 points per game below the number.
Either LSU or Florida will end up as the worst betting team after this weekend. They square off on Saturday at The Swamp, each sporting a conference-low 1-4 record against the spread. The Gators are 2-point underdogs. They have won and covered just one of the last six meetings, a 14-6 victory as 2-point pups in 2012 in Gainesville.
Georgia sits at the bottom of the conference in against the spread differential at -14.8, still reeling from its 26-24 scare against Nicholls State as 52.5-point chalk. Despite its heartbreaking 34-31 loss to Tennessee on the final play of the game, it covered its first spread (+3.5) since the opener against North Carolina. For Volunteers backers, it was a bad beat. Teams do not kick an extra point unless tied at the end of the game. The Bulldogs covered by a half-point.
Here’s a look at where all the SEC teams rank in average margin against the spread. Included is each team’s average betting line for the season, as well as record against the number.
|TEAM||AVERAGE ATS MARGIN||AVERAGE LINE||ATS RECORD|
|1. Texas A&M||7.8||-16||4-1|
|5. Ole Miss||1.8||-10.2||3-2|
|6. South Carolina||1.1||5.7||3-2|
|13. Mississippi St.||-6||-11.2||2-2|
Below is another table showing how SEC teams fared against game totals, including average over-under margins and records. Here’s the tally through Week 5:
|TEAM||AVERAGE O/U MARGIN||AVERAGE TOTAL||O/U RESULTS|
|1. Ole Miss||11.6||59.6||3-2|
|4. Mississippi State||2.4||49.4||1-3|
|9. Texas A&M||-0.8||55.4||1-3-1|
|14. South Carolina||-16.4||49||0-5|
No. 14 Ole Miss continues to soar over the total, bettering the number (69) by a touchdown in its 48-28 win versus Memphis on Saturday. It’s eclipsing the mark by 11.6 points per game, tops in the SEC. A combination of good offense and poor defense is contributing. The Rebels have scored and yielded more than the market projects in 4 of 5 contests this season. On a bye this weekend, they have Arkansas on deck. The Razorbacks won 53-52 in overtime last season. The two combined for 90 points in regulation time.
LSU and South Carolina are perfect to the under, each cashing five tickets to begin the season. The Gamecocks are playing 16.4 points per game below the total, the lowest of any Football Bowl Subdivision team. Their 14.0 points per game rank last out of all Power 5 programs. Stretching back to 2014, South Carolina is 4-16-1 O/U in its last 21 games. The Tigers, meanwhile, are playing 8.5 points per game under the number. They are 3-12 O/U in their last 15 SEC games, averaging a combined score of 42.7 points.