After 501 simulations, WhatIfSports.com made its predictions for the bowl season, including each of the matchups featuring an SEC team.
Of course, each bowl will only actually be played once. But perhaps running the simulation that many times will give us a clearer picture of which SEC teams have the best odds to end its season with a victory.
One thing is for certain: the simulation likes Alabama, as it says the Crimson Tide have a very good chance of not only winning the Peach Bowl, but also going on to win the national title.
But they’re not the SEC team with the best odds, according to these simulations. That would be Mississippi State, which plays Miami (OH) in the St. Petersburg Bowl.
Here’s the full list of the SEC’s simulations, ranked in order of most likely to win to the least by percentage:
65.8 — Mississippi State, St. Petersburg Bowl vs. Miami (OH)
62.7 — Alabama, Peach Bowl vs. Washington
62.3 — Alabama, National Championship Game vs. Ohio State (simulated winner of Fiesta Bowl)
58.9 — Georgia, Liberty Bowl vs. TCU
55.9 — Texas A&M, Texas Bowl vs. Kansas State
53.5 — Florida, Outback Bowl vs. Iowa
53.5 — Tennessee, Music City Bowl vs. Nebraska
48.2 — LSU, Citrus Bowl vs. Louisville
47.8 — Vanderbilt, Independence Bowl vs. North Carolina State
44.9 — Kentucky, TaxSlayer Bowl vs. Georgia Tech
44.6 — Arkansas, Belk Bowl vs. Virginia Tech
44.4 — South Carolina, Birmingham Bowl vs. South Florida
41.0 — Auburn, Sugar Bowl vs. Oklahoma