No. 1 Alabama is a favorite against No. 15 LSU for the ninth time in a row under coach Nick Saban, spotting 8 points in the SEC West showdown. The Crimson Tide own a -3.9 average line in the series over the last three decades, a double-digit spread separating the teams just three times since 1993. The last four meetings in Baton Rouge, in fact, have been decided by a touchdown or less. Alabama has won five straight, covering the spread in all but one (2012).
No. 11 Auburn is a 25-point favorite versus Vanderbilt. It’s the greatest spread in the matchup since the Tigers routed the Commodores 56-6 as 32-point chalk at Jordan-Hare Stadium back in 1990. Vanderbilt has scored more than 14 points in just four of the last 13 meetings, but won the last two outright as a 4-point underdog in 2008 (14-13) and 6.5-point chalk in 2012 (17-13). The betting market expects a more lopsided game this time around with the Tigers one of the nation’s hottest programs. Auburn’s 34.8 average margin of victory in its last four contests tops all in the Football Bowl Subdivision.
Oddsmakers are giving Arkansas a field goal in its home tilt against No. 10 Florida. The Gators are not the ideal opponents for a Razorbacks’ bounce-back effort after suffering a 56-3 loss at Auburn last time out. The 53-point loss was the school’s worst in SEC history. Florida is 9-1 straight up and 8-2 against the spread in the last 10 matchups.
Mississippi State is a 13-point underdog to division foe No. 7 Texas A&M. It’s only the second time in the last five meetings a double-digit spread separates the two. The Aggies won 51-41 as 19-point chalk in 2013. The Bulldogs yielded 78 points total in their last two SEC contests (Auburn, Kentucky), and history suggests the defense may struggle in this matchup. Texas A&M has scored 30 points or more in each of the last five meetings. Coach Kevin Sumlin’s squad is second to Alabama (43.9) in conference, scoring 38.4 points per game.
Kentucky, in the mix for its first SEC East title with a 4-2 record, is a 3-point home underdog hosting Georgia. The Bulldogs have been favored in each of the last 36 meetings, but only twice has the number gone off below a field goal. In 1990, the Wildcats won 26-24 in Athens as 2.5-point pups, while Georgia earned a 28-26 victory as 1-point chalk at Lexington in 1998.
South Carolina opens as a 6-favorite at home to Missouri. The Gamecocks are looking for their first three-game win streak since 2014 after they beat Tennessee 24-21 as 15-point underdogs last Saturday. The Tigers may offer a decent chance. Missouri is a dismal 1-12 straight up and 3-10 against the spread in its last 13 games against SEC opponents.
Ole Miss is a 25.5-point favorite against Sun Belt representatives Georgia Southern. The Eagles are a perfect 6-0 against the spread in their last six played against SEC foes.
Tennessee Tech at Tennessee is off the board, as oddsmakers delay lines with FCS opponents until later in the week. The Golden Eagles have gone off as 38.4-point underdogs in their last 10 games against FBS competition, winless in their last 30 against the higher-level division.
Here’s a look at all the Week 10 opening lines for the SEC as set at the Wynn Las Vegas on Sunday:
|Georgia Southern at Ole Miss||Noon||Rebels -25.5|
|No. 7 Texas A&M at Mississippi State||Noon||Aggies -13|
|Vanderbilt at No. 11 Auburn||Noon||Tigers -25|
|No. 10 Florida at Arkansas||3:30 p.m.||Gators -3|
|Missouri at South Carolina||4 p.m.||Gamecocks -6|
|Tennessee Tech at Tennessee||4 p.m.||Off|
|Georgia at Kentucky||7:30 p.m.||Bulldogs -3|
|No. 1 Alabama at No. 15 LSU||8 p.m.||Crimson Tide -8|
*Based on Eastern Time
#Based on Wynn Las Vegas lines as of 6:15 p.m. ET Sunday