The Wynn Las Vegas opens No. 1 Alabama a 28.5-point favorite over Mississippi State in Week 11, the greatest spread ever between the two. The Bulldogs find it tough to score against coach Nick Saban’s defense, averaging 9.3 points per game since taking over in 2007. For bettors playing totals, the under is a perfect 9-0 in this span with a combined score of 36.3 points per game. The Crimson Tide enter the contest boasting with confidence following a 10-0 road shutout over LSU in which Saban praised as “outstanding.”
South Carolina coach Will Muschamp is getting 13.5 points on the oddsboard against his former team, Florida, at the Swamp. The Gamecocks are 11-3 against the spread in their last 14 as double-digit underdogs against conference opponents, including its 24-21 win over Tennessee two weeks ago as 15-point pups. The Gators, meanwhile, are 7-2 against the spread versus SEC East foes under coach Jim McElwain. The defense has held division opponents to 8.1 points per game in this stretch, and enters the contest ranking third nationally behind Michigan and Alabama in total defense (267.8 YPG).
Books expect Tennessee to get the better of Kentucky once again, opening up with an initial offer of -11.5 points. The Volunteers have dominated the series recently, going 30-1 straight up and 23-8 against the spread since 1985. The Wildcats, in fact, have covered only a pair of games out of 21 meetings when spotted 17 points or less.
Auburn is a favorite at Sanford Stadium for the first time since 1995, giving 9.5 points against Georgia. It’s only the second time in the last 17 trips to Athens the Tigers kick off as chalk in the series. The current line is far removed from oddsmakers’ expectations prior to the season’s start. The South Point Casino made the Bulldogs a 6.5-point favorite for the clash in its Game of the Year odds released in May. It’s only the fourth time in the last 10 years Georgia will kick off a home underdog.
Missouri, which is winless in its last 11 SEC games, is a 1-point favorite over Vanderbilt. The Commodores won this matchup 10-3 in Nashville at the same exact odds last season.
LSU is spotting Arkansas a touchdown. The Razorbacks are 8-2 against the spread in the last 10 matchups, beating the Tigers straight up the last two years. LSU faced Alabama the prior week in each of those defeats, the only two times it has done so in the series historically, for what it’s worth.
The statuses of starting quarterbacks Chad Kelly (knee) and Trevor Knight (shoulder) are unknown when Ole Miss and Texas A&M square off. The game is off the board at the Wynn due to the injuries, but opened -20 in favor of the Aggies offshore. The Rebels have covered the spread in each of the four meetings since Texas A&M joined the conference, including the only time as double-digit underdogs in 2012.
Here’s a look at all the Week 11 opening lines for the SEC as set at the Wynn on Sunday:
|Mississippi State at Alabama||Noon||Crimson Tide -28.5|
|South Carolina at Florida||Noon||Gators -13.5|
|Kentucky at Tennessee||Noon||Volunteers -11.5|
|Auburn at Georgia||3:30 p.m.||Tigers -9.5|
|Vanderbilt at Missouri||3:30 p.m.||Tigers -1|
|LSU at Arkansas||7 p.m.||Tigers -7|
|Ole Miss at Texas A&M||7:30 p.m.||Off|
*Based on Eastern Time
#Based on Wynn Las Vegas lines as of 6:15 p.m. ET Sunday