Tennessee was clearly in the driver’s seat to win the SEC East entering its matchup with Texas A&M. But following the Volunteers’ first loss of the season, 45-38 in double overtime to the Aggies, ESPN’s Stats and Information has downgraded UT’s probability of heading to Atlanta for the SEC championship game by 21 percent.
Have a look at the chart.
TENN's chance to win the East fell from 84% last week to 63% currently. Accounts for Vols' loss to A&M and impact of FLA-LSU postponement. pic.twitter.com/Bavq6Ev6YQ
— Sharon Katz (@skatz23) October 9, 2016
Tennessee has a huge game on tap this coming Saturday in Knoxville against top-ranked Alabama, a team it hasn’t beaten in the Nick Saban era, and not since 2006 overall. Lose that one, and the Vols’ chances become even less clear.
However, the two huge things Tennessee has in its favor. In the case of a tie in the standings, it holds the tiebreaker over both Florida and Georgia by virtue of the Vols’ wins over each team this season.