Tennessee’s comeback win against Georgia was even more improbable than most people realized.
The Vols fell behind 31-28 after a 47-yard touchdown pass from Jacob Eason to Riley Ridley with 10 seconds left. At that point, their probability of winning the game was 0.23 percent. That was the fourth lowest win probability in a game for a power conference team that eventually won in the last 10 years of college football.
The most improbable comeback wins in the past decade pic.twitter.com/fHjniarF8M
— Pick Six Previews (@PickSixPreviews) October 4, 2016
Of course, we all know what happened next.
Tennessee QB Josh Dobbs completed a 43-yard Hail Mary pass to WR Jauan Jennings for a 34-31 win to keep the Vols’ undefeated season alive.
The hardest part for the Bulldogs? They’re on this list twice. Their overtime loss to Georgia Tech in 2014 was even more unlikely, with the Yellow Jackets at one point having a 0.19 percent chance of winning.