We all know Texas A&M’s 92-88 comeback win over Northern Iowa on Sunday was college basketball’s version of a miracle, but just how seemingly impossible was A&M’s rally?
Done guessing? Because the answer is astronomical. According to FiveThirtyEight.com’s Neil Payne, the Aggies had a 1-in-3,333 chance of winning Sunday’s game when they were down 12 points with 35 seconds left. To add even more ridiculous context, the Aggies had just a 0.04 percent chance of winning after UNI’s Jeremy Morgan sank two free throws with 44 seconds left to make it a 12-point game.
“In other words, you could play out Sunday night’s end-game scenario thousands more times and never once see the Aggies move on to the Sweet 16.” Payne wrote.
It might not have needed any more validation, but Payne’s statistics prove that Texas A&M’s comeback was among, if not the best, comeback in college basketball history. Now, Texas A&M will need to capitalize off of its historic victory by knocking off No. 2 Oklahoma Thursday night in Anaheim, Calif.